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A bettor earned over $436,000 on Polymarket by betting on Venezuela’s President Nicolás Maduro being ousted shortly before the US announced his capture, raising concerns about insider information and regulation of prediction markets.

A single bettor made nearly half a million dollars on prediction market Polymarket by wagering on the fall of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro just hours before the US officially announced his capture. The timing of the trades has raised concerns over possible insider knowledge of the US operation.
Data shows odds of Maduro’s removal surged sharply shortly before President Donald Trump confirmed the seizure, prompting calls for scrutiny of prediction markets. US lawmakers are now considering restrictions to prevent government officials from profiting from non-public information.